Rain will be winding down today over Indiana. We can see a few more showers this morning, but by midday, we should be seeing little to no more additional rain. Clouds may take longer to break up in spots, but if yesterday is any indication, we should be able to clear out without too much trouble in many areas by late afternoon and evening. Additional rain today will be mostly under .3”, with coverage at 60%.
We are dry for tomorrow with full sunshine. Friday looks drier too, as the front sagging in from the north continues to lose available moisture. While we won’t rule out a few spits or sprinkles Friday, we think that a large part of the state sees nothing, and only a few scattered showers can develop in central and southern Indiana later Friday into Saturday. Moisture totals there will be less than .25”, coverage 40%.
Scattered showers are back Sunday into Monday. These are minor, and we are pulling back on precipitation totals here. A few hundredths to half an inch will be most of what we see from that wave, as the best precipitation shifts farther east into Ohio. The second wave of light moisture returns on Wednesday, bringing rain totals of a quarter to half an inch. The European model really goes nuts with a monster storm that would bring 1-3 inches of rain on Wednesday. But, it is an outlier, and so far, has only produced that kind of massive system on 1 model run. So, we are discounting it right now.
The extended period is trending drier in our opinion. We see our moisture threat for the 17th dwindling to nothing, and the rest of the extended window whether southern moisture is able to miss us to the south, staying south of the Ohio river, or whether it will want to lift north. Right now, we are biased toward a drier run, but strong southwest winds for the 19th through the 21st may bring scattered showers in, and we should at least raise the possibility of some .25”-.75”showers of rain in the middle of that 11-16 day forecast window.
Temperatures will be near normal through most of the upcoming period, with no major heat or cold air coming. The heat is locked up in the northern plains over the next week, and we do not see any credible threat of that coming to this direction.