A cold front will complete its journey across the state this morning, and by early afternoon we will be fully on the backside of the front in strong west flow. This will bring cooler air in, but we do not see the strong cold push until this weekend. Combined with rains that have already fallen across the state, we should see this morning’s rains push totals to .25”-.75” and coverage at 90%. Clouds may try to break this afternoon, but with the dramatic air temperature change, a lot of blue skies is not likely.
More of the same for tomorrow through Friday, with west to at times northwest winds bringing lake effect snow to Michigan, but only some clouds to northern Indiana. We do not see any significant frontal action in over the next 3 days.
A change to the forecast comes for this weekend, as we see strong north winds bring a deeper surge of cold, Canadian air in over the nation’s eastern third. These strong north winds open up the potential for lake effect precipitation and clouds over the state. The precipitation will be limited to northern areas, while lake enhanced clouds can be seen all the way into southern Indiana, with the north flow being so strong. We have lake effect snow potential over the northern half of the state Saturday, minor threats Sunday, and over the northern third of the state Monday. Temps will be cold enough to see some of this snow stick, although the big time totals will be north in Michigan, and in far NW Indiana.
A fast-moving clipper-like system moves in for overnight Tuesday into Wednesday, and with cold air still here, we see good snow potential for the center of the state. We can see a few inches all the way down into southern Indiana. We will hone in on exact snow totals as we get closer to the event.
Behind that system, we stay cold for the remainder of next week. An upper-level low sits over the great lakes for the latter part of next week, but it does not throw much action down our way. Two strong lows and their associated fronts sweep through the Deep South, keeping the heaviest precipitation just outside of our area on the 15th and 17th. However, we are watching these fronts closely, because a slight drift in one of the north could bring substantial moisture into the region, and if we remain cold, it could be a mess. For now, we look to dodge the bullet but stay tuned