Drier weather moves into the Hoosier state today (finally!) This dry weather pattern holds from now through next Thursday. We see high pressure taking control starting later this afternoon and holding through the weekend. As stronger south flow comes up the backside of the high to start next week, temperatures should slowly start to build. We won’t completely rule out a pop up shower or two, due mainly to some pop of instability, but those chances look much less viable this morning than what we saw earlier in the week. All told, this looks like exactly what the doctor ordered for a very wet region right now.
Our next front comes in next Friday, the 21st, about a day earlier than what we were projecting to start this week. We will see scattered showers through the day Friday, and some thunderstorms can fire off too, as a result of the warming surge ahead of the front next week. Rain totals for Friday will be .25”-.75” with coverage at 75% of the state. We will watch this front’s development early next week to gauge threat of thunderstorm development. If we see thunderstorms as a larger threat, we may have to bump the top end of the range. Stay tuned.
We turn dry again for the following weekend, the 22nd and 23rd. However, an approaching front brings another shot of rain to the state for Monday the 24th, with rain totals of .1”-.5” and coverage at 70%. The rest of the extended window, behind that front, looks dominated by upper level high pressure once again. That means “dry” from the 25th through the 31st at least. However, the high noses in out of eastern Canada, and will not be one of those central plains highs. That means while we will be dry to finish the month, we may not necessarily be overly hot. We still expect above normal temps, but at this time we are not penciling in oppressive heat.
Overall, it’s the first time in a while we can truly say we can be optimistic about the upcoming pattern.