Not a bad day today, with south winds developing and helping to move temps just a bit farther to the upside. We are still dealing with some leftover clouds in southern Indiana, an offshoot of the little spat of snow that came across the state last night. However, those clouds should be breaking up easily today, and we end up partly sunny. Sun will mix with clouds all day in the northern half of the state.
The forecast going forward is nearly unchanged this morning, showing good confidence and good continuity. Clouds will build tomorrow and south winds really ramp up taking temps to slightly above normal levels, at least for a little while. Rain pushes into southwest and west central Indiana by early to mid afternoon, and those rains really spread toward evening. We will see our heaviest action between sunset and midnight tomorrow. Moisture won’t be completely done until we get toward sunrise Sunday, but we are fully done with rain before any daytime activities commence on Sunday morning. Rain totals remain at .4”-1.3” over 100% of the state. The map at right shows precipitation potential through early Sunday morning (before sunrise). Sunday turns out partly sunny as clearing settles in, but the winds stay strong on the backside of the system, turning west or even northwest and averaging 15-30 mph for Sunday afternoon. Monday and Tuesday are partly sunny and chilly, but winds will not be an issue.
Our next system is still on track for midweek. We are unchanged in our forecast for rain totals. In terms of timing, clouds build Wednesday morning, and we will see the chance of showers over at least part of the state anytime from mid-morning Wednesday through Thursday. However, the best rain potential comes Wednesday evening and overnight, and everything diminishes to just spits and sprinkles from there through Thursday. Our rain totals remain at .25”-1” but we are dropping coverage back to 70%. A good 90% of the state may end up at least a little wet, but the difference between the two will be being able to reach the lower end of the expected range. We should be dry for next Friday.
We are leaving the extended period completely alone this morning, and it continues to look chilly, with well below normal temperatures. On Sunday, we can see some light snow and flurry action over the southern half of the state with minor accumulation potential and coverage at 60%, but the northern half of the state stays partly sunny. We do not see any well-organized frontal systems coming toward the region for the remainder of the period, but with strong NW winds, we think that we end up with plenty of lake enhanced clouds over the area, and we can’t rule out flurries from Monday 23rd through Friday the 27th.